Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.665417 3.902818 4.156587 4.449584 4.780537 5.145184 5.580723
2024-10-06 3.406402 3.735322 4.106128 4.560586 5.110467 5.765261 6.621783
2024-10-13 3.114075 3.489820 3.930765 4.497224 5.222820 6.147826 7.466063
2024-10-20 2.862766 3.265541 3.754195 4.407830 5.288937 6.486796 8.348110
2024-10-27 2.630157 3.042804 3.557060 4.268433 5.270515 6.714367 9.153358
2024-11-03 2.539096 2.988692 3.568022 4.404684 5.654496 7.608683 11.358102
2024-11-10 2.476885 2.965839 3.617425 4.601635 6.169142 8.865424 14.973639
2024-11-17 2.337645 2.829388 3.498863 4.540274 6.273010 9.467213 17.750555
2024-11-24 2.202196 2.688445 3.361958 4.435324 6.288725 9.922791 20.689761
2024-12-01 2.093186 2.576802 3.258096 4.370443 6.365794 10.547149 25.090277
2024-12-08 2.001474 2.483534 3.173729 4.327519 6.477960 11.312091 31.716137
2024-12-15 1.936931 2.424814 3.136195 4.358034 6.740807 12.590456 45.644182
2024-12-22 1.840955 2.323928 3.040435 4.303771 6.881794 13.837323 72.940416
2024-12-29 1.782852 2.275220 3.022548 4.387802 7.357638 16.623351 251.953390
2025-01-05 1.697543 2.180541 2.923857 4.311909 7.458035 18.333418 9442.217610
2025-01-12 1.616142 2.087199 2.820522 4.215513 7.492264 19.958845 NaN
2025-01-19 1.534126 1.988614 2.701768 4.076027 7.387319 20.937294 NaN
2025-01-26 1.503078 1.967084 2.710355 4.192577 8.022838 27.623532 NaN
2025-02-02 1.482015 1.959735 2.742499 4.364977 8.922902 41.320628 NaN
2025-02-09 1.427424 1.895682 2.670245 4.302442 9.062001 49.504573 NaN
2025-02-16 1.371675 1.827056 2.585274 4.201593 9.042607 56.591181 NaN
2025-02-23 1.325212 1.771375 2.520054 4.138305 9.146706 69.415495 NaN
2025-03-02 1.284860 1.723811 2.466501 4.095821 9.323647 91.532495 NaN